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Facing the Draco. Mining Dorado

This is a proposal to show how the 18.6 year real estate cycle is a hang over from times where the mechanics of the lunar month were used by high priests of the time to forecast ancient agricultural business cycles - what we would today call a financial crisis or a great recession.

Whereby due to the often uncontrollable, immoral and unsustainable demands of people in general, it was found to be more beneficial for the economy of the time to be deliberately recycled periodically rather than leaving it to run its course out of control. 

Obviously I have no significant evidence for this, except that it happens. Nearly every 20 years the world sees its economies, mostly in harmony with each other, collapse suddenly. So far I personally have witnessed 3 great recessions. In 1972, 1990 and 2008. The latter 2 impacted my personal economy directly through the retail financial bond we know as a mortgage.

What is the real estate cycle exactly? It is the inevitable consequence of enclosing the economic rents of a system as a foundational national fiscal policy. In other words 1) privatisation of unearned incomes and 2) taxation of earned incomes. Eventual collapse is obviously priced in at the start of every cycle, because you cannot take more out of an economy than is put into it. Its just a matter of when. I'm not saying this is a good or bad thing, that something must be done about it or we should promote more of it. I am just pointing it out. Whats remarkable about this policy, is its the only one which all sides politically and ideologically refuse to give serious scrutiny to. In fact it goes deeper than that. All sides politically who would normally be fiercely competing for power, stand together, united, in perfect harmony, when it comes to this curious policy, and will fight together as comrades against anyone who tries to bring it into the light. It's the one policy which harmonises both the left and the right into a single party and draws ferocious resistance whenever raised. For me that is the strongest signal of all, demanding I look at it far more deeply.

The nodes of what is called a draconic lunar month make a complete orbit of the earth in about 6,798 days (18.6 years) And this particular lunar cycle was chosen to forecast ancient business cycles because it was also found to be roughly as long as an economy would run under the conditions demanded by the people before it could no longer hold out and collapse. Though it would collapse anyway, using an accurate measure of time from the heavens meant the administration could at least retain some level of control over inevitable systemic events such as the total overnight collapse of an economy.

For the sceptic, there's nothing mysterious or mystical about this at all. Its just maths and geometry which ancient people had at hand in abundance. The interesting thing about each shock, is that the 'unconscious collective' seem to completely forget about the last one within about 4 years. And as a collective we all work in harmony together to keep forgetting. This 'loss of memory' tends to last about 20 years. Or a generation and the lifetime of a typical mortgage by strange coincidence. One twentieth of the whole is about 5% which even more curiously is the ultra long term average increase in annual rents - 20 years rent buys the property, in perpetuity. Anyone younger than that will have no memory of it at all, so not only are the last players to enter the game - they have no idea about its rules. I'm not religious, but the Torah warns us about this in Leviticus 25:23 - ".. you must not sell the land for ever, for this is mine and you are my tenants". This is a stark yet fair warning, because after roughly 223 months, as if by magic, we finally 'remember'. And nature herself orchestrates perfectly the inevitable effects with no accounting for morality, ethics, diversity, fairness and justice. It happens.

The few people today who even believe in the 18.6 year real estate cycle, dismiss this as coincidental. This proposal aims to show this ancient Cycle of the Dragon is the exact same cycle we see today for real estate and that we simply forgot about its genesis maybe 10,000 years ago. We're proposing that the cycle has been used for so long to administer systemic structures, that today it is latently embedded in the DNA of society.

Its easy to imagine how this could be so but hard to prove obviously. We can only research and analyse to see where it takes us. If ancient civilisations were using draconic months to measure their business cycle for 1000's of years, its not hard to see how that could have become normalised into the developing social organisation. Such that it became concrete and automatic over time. With the administration structuring the economy as it adapted over time to remain synchronised with the cycle. Eventually reaching a point where it remained fully adopted yet no one asked about why anymore - if it's not broke, don't fix it. 

This is not the only systemic measure we use today which no one questions. So the proposal has precedent scientifically and is worthy of further research.